Low Turnout Isn't Why Kamala Harris Lost

Low Turnout Isn't Why Kamala Harris Lost

Yuval Ben-Hayun

6 дней назад

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@YuvalTheTerrible
@YuvalTheTerrible - 17.12.2024 20:37

Seems some people are missing the point of the entire video:

As I say at the end, my point is not that Kamala did nothing wrong & was actually a great candidate, but rather that the idea that Trump only won because of Kamala’s poor performance is wrong. Trump won because of his own record-breaking performance. Had Trump ran these numbers in 2020, he would’ve won, even with Joe Biden receiving the same 81M votes. If Kamala Harris didn’t lose a single voter compared to Biden, Trump would’ve still won. Trump even outperformed 2008 Obama in PA, NV, FL, OH, NC, and IA (all states Obama won) in terms of turnout.

My whole point is that looking at the results of this election and going "Democrats lost because they couldn't get enough Democrats out to the polls" is misguided. Dems lost because Trump was so uniquely strong as a candidate, and that Dems need to analyze why he did so well with voters here if they want to replicate this. This isn't a 2016 where Trump just happened to win because no one wanted to vote for the Democratic candidate—he won because so many people wanted to vote for him.

But sure, cope.

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@tf4665
@tf4665 - 23.12.2024 09:52

Kamala lost because she's the embodiment of what the Democratic Party has become. I mean, a low key Marxist minority woman? Tell me that ain't what the Democratic Party is, seriously. Every time something is going down in Congress or in the media that ain't what you see.
People do not want that and Trump made a lot of uninformed people realize it, which is why I think Trump, even as terrible as Kamala is, was the only one suited to defeat her because this whole battle was about realigning politics with reality not whatever social psyop the Democrats are always up to.

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@trikstari7687
@trikstari7687 - 22.12.2024 16:54

It's because leftists ideology is fucking stupid and people are sick of their bullshit.

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@FilmsOfGreatness23
@FilmsOfGreatness23 - 22.12.2024 14:48

Excellent video with a breakdown of the VEP. This was analysis I had not seen anywhere else. Some people don't understand. I will say though that most of her over performance has to do with the polarization and hyper political atmosphere we are in, rather than something individually about her.

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@easytiger6570
@easytiger6570 - 22.12.2024 13:13

Bro, you're comparing swing states turnout to 2008, when swing states were Ohio, Iowa, Colorado, Florida Virginia and New Mexico

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@Krn7777w
@Krn7777w - 22.12.2024 09:05

It was a last minute wrong decision by Biden. If he really wanted a woman president in 200 years he should have done it sooner. He should have considered Bernie also. He handed over the presidency to Trump.

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@SuperDuperHappyTime
@SuperDuperHappyTime - 22.12.2024 07:52

The Blue map confused me, and the red map made perfect sense.

Yes, I know there is a key. It's just odd he didn't color code it by party.

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@sothca20001
@sothca20001 - 22.12.2024 07:24

Where are the 7 Million + VOTES??? Going back to 2008 EVERY [EVERY!!!] Democratic Presidential Candidate got UNDER 70 million votes! Until Kamala got 74 million votes in the "most important election of our lifetime" or so EVERYONE said! SO??? Did 7 MILLION folks stay home in the most important election of our lifetime? MATH is OFF!! The figures do NOT lie! The [THE] REAL Insurrection of 2020 was the RESULT of cheating! STATS. tell the OBVIOUS, Biden did not get 81 million votes! DJT [and the hundreds in prison] was RIGHT!!!

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@josiaphus
@josiaphus - 22.12.2024 06:39

People love Trump and maga. Stop coping

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@alesh2275
@alesh2275 - 22.12.2024 06:17

2020 Biden numbers were very suspicious.

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@johnharker7194
@johnharker7194 - 22.12.2024 05:16

I've been trying to figure out the "low turn-out" line when this appears to have been the 2nd largest election in history.

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@jessicu511
@jessicu511 - 21.12.2024 23:30

This is what happens when the Democratic party tries to appeal to the right rather than the left. People who are conservative rarely vote blue, especially when the media's narrative around the blue candidate is that she's a communist lol

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@jackkern5340
@jackkern5340 - 21.12.2024 23:02

Kamala Harris lost because she was a garbage candidate and Biden and the left's policies have been a complete and utter failure. Plain and simple. I don't understand why this continues to be over-analyzed.

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@gledatelj1979
@gledatelj1979 - 21.12.2024 21:19

2020 is a bad base since it was super rigged as shown by open vote switching and mathematical falsifying. Any votes after Wednesday 3AM are dscounted as well as they show unnatural flows.

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@Fofenho
@Fofenho - 21.12.2024 19:26

turns out ignoring your voter base and funding a genocide loses you an election!

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@leopardsun
@leopardsun - 21.12.2024 18:33

It's wild that people are so media illiterate these days that most of them didn't understand the obvious point of this video. I think it was very well-done, and I'm glad someone came out with VEP statistics, because it definitely changed my thoughts on where exactly things went wrong in this election cycle. Hopefully, when middle and lower-class voters see how unbearable Trump's second term will be, the Dems will be able to win them back over again. I think a lot of people are tired of the culture wars and just want affordable healthcare and a sustainable job.

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@davidwestwater2219
@davidwestwater2219 - 21.12.2024 16:29

She lost because she could not talk

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@your_neko
@your_neko - 21.12.2024 11:16

Great video. Haven't seen this detail mentioned anywhere else.
Don't get discouraged by people who can't tell stats from politics.

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@pepperVenge
@pepperVenge - 21.12.2024 10:12

You have a gift for obfuscation.

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@Phillip-y6d
@Phillip-y6d - 21.12.2024 02:38

the taller candidate won ... by a foot 🤣
She skipped the Al Smith dinner 🤣

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@mysticmarbles
@mysticmarbles - 20.12.2024 20:42

She lost because people stopped trusting democrats after years of being lied to and them not fixing anything. She lost because no one believes she was qualified after they lied about Biden being fit to run. Most people who support her only do so because they hate Trump, not on her own merit. She lost because their platform was mostly "the other side is racist/sexist so vote for us." People can't afford to live right now. They will gladly sacrifice social issues for stability. And once they made that switch they found out that the people the left called hateful were actually the welcoming ones.

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@Mattrino101
@Mattrino101 - 20.12.2024 17:40

Short Answer: Because she was a part of the failed administration that had been in office for the last four years, destroying the country.

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@alphajoresss
@alphajoresss - 20.12.2024 15:52

Some remarkably bad comprehension in the comments

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@Lucky_9705
@Lucky_9705 - 20.12.2024 08:40

Younger men costed Kamala this election. Her campaign failed to appeal to this demographic considerably because of an unclear message on addressing economic issues.

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@Sigismund-von-Luxembourg
@Sigismund-von-Luxembourg - 20.12.2024 07:49

She lost because she was a terrible candidate.

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@Rationalific
@Rationalific - 20.12.2024 07:10

Thanks for digging into data that few really look into in such detail.

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@MattMinecraft4
@MattMinecraft4 - 20.12.2024 06:15

First candidate since Herbert Hoover in 1932 to not flip a single county or county-equivalent, first candidate since Gerald Ford in 1976 to not swing at least one state or D.C. in their political direction (that is, Trump swung all fifty states plus D.C. to the right this year), first Democrat to lose Starr County, Texas, - the county with the largest Hispanic population in the country (~90%) - since William Jennings Bryan in 1896, accounting for the end of the longest Democratic voting streak in ANY jurisdiction in history, and delivered the worst performance for a Democrat in Lackawanna County, Pennsylvania, (Scranton) since Grover Cleveland in 1892. This was a clear, decisive win; there's no denying it.

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@keagan5379
@keagan5379 - 20.12.2024 05:48

Hopefully democrats realize their 2012 “turn out the base” strategy isn’t going to work anymore. Especially as more states start requiring voter ID along with implementing stricter voting laws 😉

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@pingpong3311
@pingpong3311 - 20.12.2024 05:36

Every state in the US shifted towards Republican

Not a single county shifted from Republican to Democrat

Why did she lose? She had no policies, no plans, and nothing that benefitted the American people. And the dems recked the economy, prioritized illegals over their own citizens, and imposed draconian laws regarding COVID. They also kept escalating the Russia-Ukraine conflict and dumped American tax money on Ukraine. The dems also have little to no respect for the Constitution.

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@WesValure
@WesValure - 20.12.2024 03:59

God Bless
Donald J Trump..
& The USA... Amen

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@jimbodice2672
@jimbodice2672 - 20.12.2024 02:21

This man has 4 videos and they all bangers.

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@gavinowens459
@gavinowens459 - 20.12.2024 00:40

Interesting… maybe the democrats have to actually start supporting popular policies if they want to win elections!!

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@almallah7646
@almallah7646 - 20.12.2024 00:39

She lost because she sucks.she didn’t do a thang in 4 years and she’s a laughing hyena

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@IsaiahMiguel
@IsaiahMiguel - 20.12.2024 00:30

People also forget that people who voted Democrat for most elections voted for Trump this year

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@figlego
@figlego - 20.12.2024 00:13

The left lost because they are pure evil.

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@arkine11
@arkine11 - 19.12.2024 22:44

This is sad. You do an interesting analysis, and basically showed Trump won because he was heavily supported, and a bunch of people act like you're coping while doing the complete opposite. No matter what side of the political spectrum you look, people are morons and can't think past surface level to actually see what you're saying.

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@Boeing737max8american
@Boeing737max8american - 19.12.2024 22:43

He went to gas station

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@Danahell
@Danahell - 19.12.2024 22:26

Bernie Sanders said it to their faces, they got really disconnected from the people, they seemed more worried about getting celebrity endorsements

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@mikeg3439
@mikeg3439 - 19.12.2024 22:05

The one thing they will never accept is the truth: Kamala was a HORRIBLE candidate, and Trump was VERY well liked by a lot of people this time. She had the world behind her pushing hard, world record funding, and still go shit whipped. She's just awful. Trump and his team did a fairly good job and were consistent, so despite the majority of the media and deep state working tirelessly to stop him, he could not be stopped. It's not a mystery.

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@brownsongbird
@brownsongbird - 19.12.2024 21:08

I think there is a comprehension problem on the end of the listener who hears this and not the entire statement. He literally says my point is NOT that Kamala did nothing wrong and was a great candidate AKA that is NOT what he is saying AKA he is NOT saying she did nothing wrong and was a great candidate. His point ISSSSS that Donald Trump was even more popular this time and Kamala was average. He does talk fast so maybe yall just needed to slow down the video or something but his syntax was fine. It maybe could have been a little cleaner but it wasn't wrong.

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@dylanw1248
@dylanw1248 - 19.12.2024 19:08

She lost cuz she sucked

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@TheRealZeke2003
@TheRealZeke2003 - 19.12.2024 18:38

Pls where did you get all this data

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@natman2939
@natman2939 - 19.12.2024 17:05

What are your thoughts on the leftist conspiracy that a lot of swing states had people voting blue down ballot but Trump at the top of the ballot. Their claim is that this only happened in the swing states. I'm interested to hear your thoughts so I can relay them to these type of people if you have a good explanation.

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@justinefallon9499
@justinefallon9499 - 19.12.2024 16:12

I really don’t understand the sense of bewilderment from the left as to why she lost…….

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@sethwright4641
@sethwright4641 - 19.12.2024 09:23

Another reason is that 12 million dead people ended up voting for Biden in 2020😒

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@misterchris8916
@misterchris8916 - 19.12.2024 04:37

she should have paid for more twerking.

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@woodencheck6181
@woodencheck6181 - 19.12.2024 01:51

Very insightful

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@tonyjames1980
@tonyjames1980 - 18.12.2024 23:42

Thank you for this analysis.
Gives a new perspective

So Kamala Harris was Good to Decent candidate for Democrats, but Trump was a stronger candidate in 2024.

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@myowncomputerstuff
@myowncomputerstuff - 18.12.2024 22:31

Glad to see someone calling out voter patterns in safe red and blue states. Seeing a red shift in safe red states like Kentucky and Tennessee tells me that people weren't voting against Kamala to save their state from flipping. They truly supported Trump the way they haven't supported any prior Republican candidate (including Trump himself in 2016 and 2020).

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